The Financial Advisor

November 6, 2008

November 2008 Newsletter

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , — gsmorse @ 11:27 am
 
Waddell & Reed
Geoffrey S. Morse
Financial Advisor
4218 S Steele Street
Suite 215
Tacoma WA 98409
(253) 474-9555
gsmorse@wradvisors.com
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Handling Market Volatility
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Handling Market Volatility

Conventional wisdom says that what goes up, must come down. But even if you view market volatility as a normal occurrence, it can be tough to handle when it’s your money at stake. Though there’s no foolproof way to handle the ups and downs of the stock market, the following common sense tips can help.

Don’t put your eggs all in one basket

Diversifying your investment portfolio is one of the key ways you can handle market volatility. Because asset classes typically perform differently under different market conditions, spreading your assets across a variety of investments such as stocks, bonds, and cash equivalents (e.g., money market funds, CDs, and other short-term instruments), has the potential to help reduce your overall risk. Ideally, a decline in one type of asset will be balanced out by a gain in another, but diversification can’t eliminate the possibility of market loss.

One way to diversify your portfolio is through asset allocation. Asset allocation involves identifying the asset classes that are appropriate for you and allocating a certain percentage of your investment dollars to each class (e.g., 70 percent to stocks, 20 percent to bonds, 10 percent to cash equivalents). An easy way to decide on an appropriate mix of investments is to use a worksheet or an interactive tool that suggests a model or sample allocation based on your investment objectives, risk tolerance level, and investment time horizon.

Focus on the forest, not on the trees

As the market goes up and down, it’s easy to become too focused on day-to-day returns. Instead, keep your eyes on your long-term investing goals and your overall portfolio. Although only you can decide how much investment risk you can handle, if you still have years to invest, don’t overestimate the effect of short-term price fluctuations on your portfolio.

Look before you leap

When the market goes down and investment losses pile up, you may be tempted to pull out of the stock market altogether and look for less volatile investments. The small returns that typically accompany low-risk investments may seem attractive when more risky investments are posting negative returns.

But before you leap into a different investment strategy, make sure you’re doing it for the right reasons. How you choose to invest your money should be consistent with your goals and time horizon.

For instance, putting a larger percentage of your investment dollars into vehicles that offer safety of principal and liquidity (the opportunity to easily access your funds) may be the right strategy for you if your investment goals are short-term (e.g., you’ll need the money soon to buy a house) or if you’re growing close to reaching a long-term goal such as retirement. But if you still have years to invest, keep in mind that stocks have historically outperformed stable value investments over time, although past performance is no guarantee of future results. If you move most or all of your investment dollars into conservative investments, you’ve not only locked in any losses you might have, but you’ve also sacrificed the potential for higher returns.

Look for the silver lining

A down market, like every cloud, has a silver lining. The silver lining of a down market is the opportunity you have to buy shares of stock at lower prices.

One of the ways you can do this is by using dollar cost averaging. With dollar cost averaging, you don’t try to “time the market” by buying shares at the moment when the price is lowest. In fact, you don’t worry about price at all. Instead, you invest money at regular intervals over time.

When the price is higher, your investment dollars buy fewer shares of stock, but when the price is lower, the same dollar amount will buy you more shares.

For example, let’s say that you decided to invest $300 each month towards your child’s college education. As the illustration shows, your regular monthly investment of $300 bought more shares when the price was low and fewer shares when the price was high:

Although dollar cost averaging can’t guarantee you a profit or avoid a loss, a regular fixed dollar investment may result in a lower average price per share over time, assuming you continue to invest through all types of markets. You should consider your financial ability to make ongoing purchases, regardless of price fluctuations, however.

(This hypothetical example is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any particular investment. Actual results will vary.)

Don’t stick your head in the sand

While focusing too much on short-term gains or losses is unwise, so is ignoring your investments. You should check up on your portfolio at least once a year, more frequently if the market is particularly volatile or when there have been significant changes in your life. You may need to rebalance your portfolio to bring it back in line with your investment goals and risk tolerance. A financial professional can help you decide which investment options are right for you.

Don’t count your chickens before they hatch

As the market recovers from a down cycle, elation quickly sets in. If the upswing lasts long enough, it’s easy to believe that investing in the stock market is a sure thing. But, of course, it never is. As many investors have learned the hard way, becoming overly optimistic about investing during the good times can be as detrimental as worrying too much during the bad times. The right approach during all kinds of markets is to be realistic. Have a plan, stick with it, and strike a comfortable balance between risk and return.


The accompanying pages have been developed by an independent third party. Forefield’s content and information is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Neither Forefield Inc. nor Forefield Advisor provides legal, tax, insurance, investment or other advice and should not be relied upon for such purposes. Waddell & Reed does not guarantee their accuracy or completeness, and they should not be relied upon as such. These materials are general in nature and do not address your specific situation. For your specific financial planning and investment needs, please discuss your individual circumstances with your Financial Advisor.

The accompanying pages may include information regarding retirement plans, estate planning, business planning or a variety of other topics that involve tax and legal issues beyond the scope of Waddell & Reed’s area of practice and expertise. Such information is intended to explain or illustrate planning topics, options or strategies that you may wish to consider in advance of, or at the time of, seeking the assistance of legal and/or tax advisors in implementing your plans and should not be considered as an authoritative or comprehensive explanation of any of the particular planning topics, options or strategies described. The information in the accompanying pages describes the general aspects of various planning topics, options or strategies but does not necessarily address all the pertinent facts and issues of your personal situation.

Waddell & Reed does not provide tax or legal advice, and nothing in the accompanying pages should be construed as specific tax or legal advice or may be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. The selection of appropriate planning options or strategies should be made on an individual basis after consultation with appropriate legal, tax and financial advisors. It is important that you retain the services of legal counsel to plan and implement any legal documents that you may require and that you consult a tax advisor for an explanation of the tax effects of any particular planning options or strategies on your personal financial situation.

Waddell & Reed financial advisors are able to offer insurance products through arrangements with insurance companies. Guarantees provided by insurance products are subject to the claims-paying-ability of the issuing insurance company.

Prepared by Forefield Inc. Copyright 2008 Forefield Inc.

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